World Politics · resolved market
Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Ivan Korčok win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x506a96c9d159163dd47aa3e6cf321feb0ea78d361d7ef810e838980fefed581a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 42c | 1,900$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Yes | 48c | 1,584$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.07 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…4ecbbacked No | 60c | 1,378$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 11c | 1,287$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…146ebacked Yes | 20c | 976.22$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 61c | 849.16$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 52c | 591.5$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 28c | 499.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 28c | 454.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked No | 59c | 437.73$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 38c | 422$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…af2cbacked Yes | 52c | 265$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…e428backed Yes | 51c | 251.51$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…d92cbacked Yes | 23c | 226.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…f2f0backed Yes | 61c | 163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 53c | 149.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…bb25backed Yes | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…8316backed Yes | 61c | 138.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…fb73backed No | 72c | 124.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…c53dbacked Yes | 65c | 72.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…d874backed Yes | 58c | 57.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…f98bbacked Yes | 57c | 53.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42a…bf9ebacked Yes | 29c | 51.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa3…ad2cbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…1cc5backed Yes | 62c | 31.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…7f67backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Ivan Korčok win?this page
- Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Peter Pellegrini win?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.