World Politics · resolved market
Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Peter Pellegrini win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac6d30c07e239485ef6ec2f7a47aee6e04e48cdeff90bbc910ffefc8c647a181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8f9…3a54backed Yes | 56c | 2,674$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 30c | 2,498$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.27 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…85aabacked Yes | 80c | 2,256$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked No | 54c | 1,849$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 14c | 1,804$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 55c | 1,263$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.78 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c594backed Yes | 65c | 1,202$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…c53dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,149$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked No | 47c | 1,125$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…2a54backed Yes | 71c | 1,121$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…19fcbacked Yes | 55c | 1,084$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,042$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b1…0a93backed Yes | 72c | 782.89$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…f2f0backed Yes | 73c | 753.42$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…cff4backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed Yes | 74c | 625$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +246.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…2523backed Yes | 59c | 555.61$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.87 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…4ecbbacked No | 30c | 462.39$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 40c | 443.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 37c | 436.08$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 25c | 400.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 59c | 364.32$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…cc0ebacked Yes | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…f388backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5fccbacked Yes | 74c | 199.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…43d0backed No | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 71c | 150.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dba…b40ebacked No | 49c | 139.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd279…e09dbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed No | 28c | 95.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 48c | 84.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…bad4backed Yes | 65c | 80.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 72c | 66.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…f98bbacked Yes | 72c | 56.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3098…568abacked No | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…1cc5backed Yes | 55c | 45.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…8084backed Yes | 80c | 45.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…8b0dbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…2394backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…0aa1backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…84f2backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…be0dbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…7f67backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…6060backed Yes | 72c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Peter Pellegrini win?this page
- Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Ivan Korčok win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.