Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
NCAAB: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs 2024-03-29
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe832abb3a9ea0cf16f36f3679fa7849e0c7e28d6a2574712df8a0e60c85ca219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdueof Purdue, Gonzaga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07ad…4c0cbacked Purdue | 69c | 4,000$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Purdue | 68c | 3,434$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Gonzaga | 33c | 3,234$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Gonzaga | 31c | 1,800$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.65 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed Gonzaga | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Gonzaga | 31c | 1,250$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Purdue | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Gonzaga | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Gonzaga | 31c | 554.55$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Gonzaga | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NCAAB: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs 2024-03-29this page
- NCAAB: Arizona Wildcats vs. Clemson Tigers 2024-03-28Clemson won
- NCAAB: Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils 2024-03-29Duke won
- NCAAB: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Illinois Fighting Illini 2024-03-28 Illinois won
- NCAAB: Marquette Golden Eagles vs. NC State Wolfpack 2024-03-29NC St. won
- NCAAB: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 2024-03-28Alabama won
- NCAAB: Tennessee Volunteers vs. Creighton Blue Jays 2024-03-29Tennessee won
- NCAAB: UConn Huskies vs. San Diego State Aztecs 2024-03-28UConn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.