NFL · resolved market
Titans vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26668f54e787a218722a85b72455aaf643c6e9fb02ccfdb80edef4dfcededa85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Titans, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Bills | 69c | 16,444$11,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Titans | 20c | 12,993$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.58 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Titans | 18c | 9,025$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.26 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Titans | 31c | 8,536$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.51 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Titans | 18c | 7,865$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.04 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Titans | 30c | 6,726$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Titans | 32c | 5,214$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Titans | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Titans | 5c | 2,899$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bills | 66c | 1,506$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.13 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Titans | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Bills | 71c | 1,372$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.23 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Titans | 19c | 1,173$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Bills | 79c | 1,047$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.79 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Bills | 62c | 780.31$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.16 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Titans | 22c | 749.96$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Titans | 21c | 690.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Bills | 61c | 667.45$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Bills | 73c | 666.82$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.73 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Bills | 80c | 652.93$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.59 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Titans | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Titans | 27c | 482.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Titans | 19c | 443.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Titans | 23c | 417$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…e0efbacked Titans | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Titans | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Titans | 18c | 395.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Titans | 20c | 360$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Bills | 66c | 360$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…3b80backed Titans | 20c | 310$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bills | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Titans | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bills | 78c | 275$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…8501backed Titans | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca7…47f9backed Titans | 22c | 248.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Bills | 69c | 244.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Titans | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3de…69babacked Bills | 65c | 193.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Titans | 29c | 178.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901d…9c8ebacked Bills | 80c | 168.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Titans | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Bills | 60c | 152.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Titans | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Bills | 79c | 131.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Bills | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…41aabacked Bills | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…4551backed Bills | 71c | 123.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Titans | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked Bills | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Bills | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c43…9a57backed Titans | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Bills | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Titans | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d6…2a65backed Titans | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…3194backed Titans | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Bills | 79c | 86.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Titans | 31c | 76.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Titans | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…9209backed Titans | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…4894backed Titans | 21c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Titans | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d25fbacked Bills | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…61f3backed Titans | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…48cabacked Titans | 29c | 54.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001d…316dbacked Bills | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Bills | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…2a6dbacked Bills | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…9266backed Titans | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…a34ebacked Bills | 80c | 40.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Bills | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…0b96backed Bills | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…d636backed Bills | 75c | 33.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…da6dbacked Bills | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…d2f3backed Bills | 66c | 30.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Bills | 70c | 25.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Bills | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…66c4backed Bills | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…c39cbacked Bills | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked Bills | 77c | 22.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…3370backed Bills | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…b755backed Bills | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…b4f7backed Bills | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Bills | 78c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…1d90backed Bills | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.