NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Mavericks Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c51d8542837f00a262645ac05416401795b2cac47d3f3ba9d1bc36f76d111b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Clippers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Mavericks | 57c | 8,350$4,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.64 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Clippers | 42c | 7,709$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.17 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Mavericks | 66c | 4,489$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…1eb4backed Mavericks | 80c | 3,358$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Clippers | 45c | 2,894$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.41 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Clippers | 8c | 2,720$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Clippers | 28c | 2,636$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.6 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…b579backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,620$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Clippers | 39c | 2,277$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Clippers | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Clippers | 27c | 1,640$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Mavericks | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Clippers | 64c | 1,467$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Clippers | 37c | 1,384$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.62 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed Mavericks | 60c | 920$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 900$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Clippers | 16c | 660.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Clippers | 20c | 545$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Clippers | 5c | 514$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Clippers | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Clippers | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed Clippers | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Mavericks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…a540backed Mavericks | 63c | 114.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Clippers | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers | 48c | 31.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.