NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb7fc8bc231dc119faf8478fcdba3fe249263a4a0ced763e9a954c5a0026bb5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Texans, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Packers | 62c | 25,473$15,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,736.39 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +11.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…26acbacked Texans | 41c | 24,000$9,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,840 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Texans | 40c | 21,846$8,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,711.53 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…c09abacked Texans | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Texans | 37c | 17,244$6,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,315.87 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e37…386bbacked Packers | 59c | 16,600$9,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,806 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Packers | 61c | 16,479$10,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,423.34 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953b…f969backed Packers | 59c | 16,000$9,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,560 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Texans | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Packers | 58c | 8,013$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.89 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…7531backed Packers | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Texans | 38c | 6,868$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.49 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Packers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.94 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Packers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.91 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Texans | 47c | 4,733$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.53 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Packers | 51c | 4,491$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.11 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Packers | 58c | 3,992$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.1 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…2d20backed Texans | 3c | 3,925$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Packers | 66c | 3,892$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2747…cf42backed Texans | 42c | 3,754$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Packers | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…e01fbacked Texans | 41c | 3,020$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…e24ebacked Texans | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…dc52backed Packers | 59c | 2,998$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…1233backed Packers | 59c | 2,800$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Texans | 38c | 2,587$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.09 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Packers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Packers | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Texans | 46c | 1,874$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.27 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Texans | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Texans | 61c | 1,713$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Texans | 25c | 1,708$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.69 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Packers | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…6e07backed Packers | 78c | 1,461$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Texans | 41c | 1,148$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.65 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Packers | 40c | 1,008$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.3 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Texans | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Texans | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Packers | 60c | 1,000$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.38 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…f3edbacked Texans | 42c | 920$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Packers | 58c | 908.05$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Packers | 59c | 829.94$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Texans | 42c | 829.81$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Texans | 35c | 740.04$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…0a18backed Texans | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Texans | 44c | 690$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.22 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Texans | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Texans | 39c | 538$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Packers | 62c | 526$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…7d56backed Packers | 62c | 518.48$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Texans | 62c | 508.23$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Texans | 48c | 505.86$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Texans | 53c | 503$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.09 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Packers | 57c | 502.28$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Texans | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Texans | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.8 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texans | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Packers | 60c | 484.44$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1042…9025backed Texans | 41c | 466.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Texans | 41c | 455.3$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Texans | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Packers | 62c | 443$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.05 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Texans | 44c | 440.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…1622backed Texans | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Texans | 26c | 413.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Texans | 40c | 410.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Packers | 66c | 385.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Texans | 45c | 378$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.63 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Packers | 60c | 357$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Texans | 41c | 357$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Texans | 42c | 355.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Packers | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Texans | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Texans | 42c | 345.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Texans | 28c | 329.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Packers | 52c | 322.66$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…08cfbacked Packers | 59c | 320$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…e0efbacked Texans | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Packers | 63c | 305.11$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.26 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Texans | 48c | 304.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…eb44backed Packers | 60c | 301.67$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…d32bbacked Packers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…8d44backed Packers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Packers | 62c | 290.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…e542backed Texans | 42c | 283.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Packers | 48c | 267.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Texans | 43c | 266.43$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…382bbacked Texans | 19c | 249.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Texans | 46c | 244.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Texans | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Texans | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…c6d3backed Texans | 39c | 238.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd157…2b69backed Packers | 62c | 232.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…f52abacked Packers | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…4db9backed Packers | 49c | 222.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2b1ebacked Texans | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…d93abacked Packers | 50c | 218$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Packers | 49c | 214.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Texans | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…9ff2backed Packers | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.