Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
March Madness: UConn vs. Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0033353ee0f34bc1217b3175a2db1910b673ca9a92edb0a217a17cda9bfe753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UConnof UConn, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Alabama | 13c | 12,148$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.24 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Alabama | 14c | 6,837$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Alabama | 13c | 4,581$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.68 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Alabama | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Alabama | 14c | 2,283$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.94 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Alabama | 14c | 2,198$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Alabama | 13c | 1,215$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Alabama | 5c | 895.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Alabama | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Alabama | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a50dbacked Alabama | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Alabama | 10c | 166.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…6d01backed Alabama | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.