WNBA · resolved market
WNBA: Sun vs. Lynx Game 4
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37c9e3950a3e1b79c5b4ea4a5d70bdd13edeaed37a72c56735131834a0502fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunof Sun, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Sun | 70c | 2,932$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lynx | 47c | 1,500$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sun | 51c | 1,399$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…6afabacked Lynx | 49c | 1,045$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lynx | 32c | 1,021$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Sun | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.84 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Sun | 70c | 887.38$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…4a0bbacked Lynx | 7c | 819.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Lynx | 9c | 758.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…89f6backed Lynx | 6c | 747$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sun | 52c | 607$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.79 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Lynx | 47c | 437.48$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Sun | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lynx | 50c | 145.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…d0e4backed Lynx | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…d00dbacked Lynx | 48c | 60.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…debbbacked Sun | 55c | 59.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093f…c6d3backed Lynx | 49c | 55.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…a843backed Sun | 55c | 54.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Sun | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sun | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Sun | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.