Token Launches · resolved market
Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e2c7e5886931fb635ae0b2ebdac7fa6bbfe1128c761bc8df3cc90e6dd87751b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,075,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,144,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,075,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x375d…983ebacked Yes | 4c | 140,772$6,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,252.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d6…8d38backed Yes | 18c | 119,085$21,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,947.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…b49dbacked Yes | 20c | 99,243$20,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,061.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…a4f2backed Yes | 2c | 97,706$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…07c8backed Yes | 13c | 67,348$9,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,031.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 20c | 66,299$13,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,195.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…024bbacked Yes | 5c | 47,780$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…fee2backed Yes | 7c | 46,047$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…17b6backed Yes | 24c | 41,701$9,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,998.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…4514backed Yes | 23c | 40,247$9,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,401.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…cf8ebacked Yes | 25c | 40,033$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff11…3690backed Yes | 23c | 36,833$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c76…b96ebacked Yes | 18c | 36,250$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 2c | 32,319$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.11 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…ab64backed Yes | 18c | 30,063$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 6c | 29,055$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.99 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…389bbacked Yes | 18c | 27,540$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,957.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…df13backed Yes | 10c | 20,599$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…c10fbacked Yes | 4c | 17,794$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…4e2abacked Yes | 29c | 17,554$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…e458backed Yes | 14c | 16,854$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 75c | 16,369$12,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,123.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c21…f456backed Yes | 20c | 15,162$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 5c | 14,866$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.29 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…d914backed Yes | 4c | 13,527$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…b637backed Yes | 15c | 13,057$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 79c | 11,904$9,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.81 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…ae7ebacked Yes | 3c | 11,611$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 5c | 10,477$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.96 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 4c | 10,299$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…1fc2backed Yes | 21c | 9,395$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…7693backed Yes | 16c | 8,214$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…6ef6backed No | 78c | 7,289$5,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c2…cd0bbacked Yes | 7c | 7,169$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 4c | 7,165$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940d…3bb7backed No | 78c | 6,973$5,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…7c25backed Yes | 16c | 6,068$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…336cbacked No | 75c | 4,800$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…cad1backed Yes | 13c | 4,584$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…e27bbacked Yes | 16c | 4,020$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 16c | 3,180$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…84edbacked Yes | 10c | 3,073$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…4f41backed Yes | 4c | 2,880$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…4a48backed No | 78c | 2,824$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…4215backed Yes | 15c | 2,528$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…10bdbacked Yes | 6c | 2,148$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…3a63backed Yes | 4c | 2,127$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 8c | 1,894$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…d1bdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,813$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…3bf7backed No | 78c | 1,764$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 77c | 1,731$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5794…3eefbacked Yes | 17c | 1,728$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…e05cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,724$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…0840backed Yes | 11c | 1,686$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,646$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…def2backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…03b5backed Yes | 18c | 1,380$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f2…425ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,316$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…738ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,294$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9765…b1b8backed Yes | 8c | 1,289$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 78c | 1,213$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…6f55backed Yes | 22c | 1,122$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 78c | 1,066$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…c128backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked Yes | 13c | 854.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 79c | 839.39$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…ea33backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…18bebacked Yes | 4c | 820.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 79c | 678.37$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1a…561ebacked Yes | 4c | 648.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…a16cbacked Yes | 6c | 538.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…c863backed Yes | 7c | 522.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 79c | 492.93$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46a…31a3backed Yes | 15c | 480.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…1561backed No | 80c | 463.98$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c1…f940backed Yes | 8c | 450$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 52c | 406.41$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…910fbacked Yes | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7ae6backed Yes | 19c | 390.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…b5b6backed Yes | 19c | 384.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c2…b34dbacked Yes | 20c | 357.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 27c | 339.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…2970backed Yes | 26c | 311.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…d292backed Yes | 17c | 296.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…387dbacked No | 75c | 266.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c96…3dd3backed Yes | 5c | 230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 63c | 216.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…8abebacked Yes | 21c | 205$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…5857backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…3789backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…903cbacked Yes | 16c | 176.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20af…efadbacked Yes | 19c | 151$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…c85abacked Yes | 9c | 140.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…196dbacked Yes | 24c | 130.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…954fbacked Yes | 16c | 127.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 23c | 91.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd67…c4aabacked Yes | 17c | 78.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…ec6dbacked No | 80c | 68.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.