Boxing · resolved market
Who will win: Ansem vs. Tate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4998e91c57bca84956f62f8ded47b001d8b83c444d36c97e228ca9b470abbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ansemof Ansem, Tate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Ansem | 44c | 4,991$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…4d32backed Tate | 58c | 2,578$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cb…1b72backed Tate | 55c | 909.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Ansem | 46c | 825.87$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e5…03bdbacked Tate | 52c | 673.56$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x261f…3965backed Tate | 56c | 359.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Ansem | 44c | 358.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Ansem | 46c | 315.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…eb52backed Ansem | 49c | 249.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…e792backed Ansem | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe122…33febacked Tate | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc272…5256backed Tate | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Ansem | 44c | 137.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed Tate | 52c | 131.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…8626backed Tate | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…73c1backed Ansem | 43c | 108.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…1561backed Ansem | 49c | 103.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Tate | 53c | 103.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Ansem | 48c | 100.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Ansem | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Tate | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…0285backed Ansem | 36c | 81.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ec…a049backed Tate | 64c | 81.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…9b59backed Tate | 53c | 72.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Ansem | 48c | 72.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Tate | 55c | 63.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf865…436bbacked Tate | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Ansem | 36c | 55.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f2…7c64backed Tate | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6448…0968backed Tate | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7f…75b8backed Tate | 52c | 42.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa7…309ebacked Ansem | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…a67cbacked Tate | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Tate | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…a3c6backed Tate | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd749…8946backed Ansem | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…4e8cbacked Ansem | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4893…38dbbacked Ansem | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b4…d84ebacked Tate | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c82…b6a0backed Tate | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…c033backed Ansem | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Tate | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…86f8backed Tate | 57c | 18.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.