UFC · resolved market
Menifield vs. Walker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4edfce53a5979eaef3db48c71ae43b7074aa876da2e86a35302eff096a465f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Menifieldof Menifield, Walker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa068…6b89backed Walker | 53c | 95,000$50,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…a53cbacked Menifield | 47c | 95,000$44,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Walker | 46c | 28,317$13,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,123.19 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Menifield | 67c | 17,093$11,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,590.56 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Walker | 33c | 11,363$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.16 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Menifield | 55c | 6,436$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.06 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Menifield | 53c | 5,900$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.17 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Menifield | 67c | 5,794$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.02 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Menifield | 55c | 4,663$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.16 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Menifield | 56c | 3,338$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.66 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Walker | 33c | 3,142$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.97 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Walker | 32c | 3,050$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…2040backed Walker | 32c | 2,812$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Menifield | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Menifield | 52c | 1,385$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.01 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Walker | 4c | 1,067$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Menifield | 68c | 999.75$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Menifield | 51c | 959.61$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.61 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Menifield | 55c | 657$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.65 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Walker | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Walker | 56c | 536.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Menifield | 68c | 525$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Walker | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Walker | 48c | 500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Walker | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Menifield | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Menifield | 66c | 499.98$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Walker | 37c | 486$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Walker | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Menifield | 64c | 415.93$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Menifield | 63c | 393.62$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.74 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Menifield | 55c | 365$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Walker | 53c | 312.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf2…a6a5backed Walker | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Walker | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…3875backed Walker | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…8a2bbacked Menifield | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Menifield | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Walker | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Walker | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c6…be35backed Walker | 32c | 225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…bf25backed Menifield | 68c | 225$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Menifield | 65c | 216.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Walker | 33c | 203.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Menifield | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Menifield | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Menifield | 59c | 197.52$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…28e8backed Menifield | 68c | 195$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…89c0backed Walker | 32c | 195$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…c457backed Walker | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…4081backed Menifield | 67c | 170$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Walker | 33c | 157.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed Walker | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3137…3146backed Menifield | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…e05bbacked Walker | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Walker | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Walker | 33c | 146.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Menifield | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Menifield | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…da74backed Walker | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…c3b3backed Walker | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…bee8backed Menifield | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…fae3backed Menifield | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…4adbbacked Menifield | 67c | 137$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…a305backed Walker | 33c | 137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e48…b79dbacked Walker | 33c | 135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7835…1cedbacked Menifield | 67c | 135$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…d429backed Menifield | 68c | 133.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…19e2backed Walker | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610f…b32fbacked Menifield | 67c | 130$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Menifield | 62c | 130$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Menifield | 55c | 127.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…0eafbacked Walker | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…5a60backed Menifield | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f00…70b4backed Walker | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Menifield | 64c | 111.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…d413backed Menifield | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…4de3backed Walker | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…e6cdbacked Walker | 34c | 105.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…578fbacked Walker | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…f39dbacked Menifield | 67c | 103$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…183fbacked Walker | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…3a2cbacked Menifield | 67c | 103$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…46ffbacked Menifield | 67c | 102$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…2ac8backed Walker | 33c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…584bbacked Menifield | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…2a03backed Walker | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Menifield | 63c | 97.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Menifield | 65c | 96.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Walker | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…42b2backed Menifield | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f22…e61bbacked Walker | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…6e49backed Walker | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf538…5a95backed Walker | 33c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…bcb0backed Menifield | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…21d1backed Walker | 37c | 86.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9298backed Walker | 37c | 78.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…75f4backed Walker | 40c | 75.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked Menifield | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Walker | 36c | 64.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Menifield vs. Walkerthis page
- Allen vs. HernandezHernandez won
- Cejudo vs. SongSong won
- Silva vs. BaghdasaryanSilva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.