UFC · resolved market
Silva vs. Baghdasaryan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b5a94ecbac3b34a65b58dc3961865271b97c0f0727c826440a93ed5ff1e07d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silvaof Silva, Baghdasaryan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9716…378abacked Baghdasaryan | 19c | 21,899$4,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.1 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Baghdasaryan | 20c | 4,500$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.67 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Baghdasaryan | 19c | 3,050$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Baghdasaryan | 17c | 2,221$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.54 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Baghdasaryan | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Silva | 80c | 1,800$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Baghdasaryan | 20c | 1,505$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Baghdasaryan | 19c | 1,252$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Baghdasaryan | 20c | 1,033$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.41 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Baghdasaryan | 20c | 1,000$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Baghdasaryan | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Baghdasaryan | 16c | 941.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Baghdasaryan | 18c | 815.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Silva | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Silva | 80c | 795$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Baghdasaryan | 17c | 730.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Baghdasaryan | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Baghdasaryan | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Silva | 79c | 509.88$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…b5b5backed Baghdasaryan | 21c | 395.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Silva | 79c | 317.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Baghdasaryan | 17c | 303.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Baghdasaryan | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Silva | 79c | 178.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Baghdasaryan | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…5afebacked Baghdasaryan | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Baghdasaryan | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…6048backed Baghdasaryan | 18c | 117.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…31a7backed Baghdasaryan | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…eda5backed Baghdasaryan | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89c…434dbacked Baghdasaryan | 19c | 81.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Baghdasaryan | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Baghdasaryan | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked Silva | 80c | 62.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…c4d6backed Baghdasaryan | 18c | 62.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Baghdasaryan | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Baghdasaryan | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…3b9abacked Silva | 76c | 49.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92e…7af8backed Baghdasaryan | 21c | 49.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…a913backed Silva | 79c | 47.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…9696backed Silva | 79c | 42.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe55…bcaabacked Silva | 79c | 42.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b9…e058backed Silva | 78c | 41.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…b3bdbacked Silva | 80c | 39.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…58f3backed Silva | 78c | 30.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Silva | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff4…3784backed Silva | 80c | 29.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…4260backed Silva | 79c | 28.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…8aa8backed Silva | 78c | 28.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…0731backed Silva | 79c | 27.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…eb8dbacked Silva | 79c | 27.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…d120backed Silva | 80c | 27.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…7d61backed Silva | 80c | 26.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…8ef1backed Silva | 76c | 26.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…99edbacked Silva | 73c | 26.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…186abacked Silva | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…4a2dbacked Silva | 80c | 24.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…6fcdbacked Silva | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1b39backed Silva | 80c | 22.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…8884backed Silva | 76c | 22.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…9712backed Silva | 80c | 21.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…fe68backed Silva | 80c | 21.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…7beebacked Silva | 79c | 21.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…1d66backed Silva | 80c | 21.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…4fcebacked Silva | 79c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…0fd3backed Silva | 80c | 20.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…42d0backed Silva | 80c | 19.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7904…5ef0backed Silva | 79c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9fadbacked Silva | 80c | 18.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7581backed Silva | 80c | 17.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0648…2d1abacked Silva | 79c | 17.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…b524backed Silva | 78c | 17.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0625…f179backed Silva | 78c | 17.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…e484backed Silva | 80c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…dc6dbacked Silva | 80c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb206…4d7bbacked Silva | 80c | 16.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…cad7backed Silva | 79c | 15.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab03…f5cfbacked Silva | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06c…56febacked Silva | 79c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…c3a1backed Silva | 79c | 15.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed9…5fedbacked Silva | 80c | 14.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4689…4d8abacked Silva | 79c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9f…6d7fbacked Silva | 80c | 13.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73e…12eebacked Silva | 79c | 12.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09f…cc4abacked Silva | 80c | 12.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…4128backed Silva | 79c | 12.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Silva vs. Baghdasaryanthis page
- Allen vs. HernandezHernandez won
- Cejudo vs. SongSong won
- Menifield vs. WalkerMenifield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.