MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfafe6d9ec3e8e6f1f83f7185ea0e7dbfcfaa52f3e872df428a4e8585df26887c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 42c | 18,663$7,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,833.34 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 22c | 11,973$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.76 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 43c | 11,111$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.73 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 10c | 9,380$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.72 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 43c | 6,049$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.35 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Dodgers | 57c | 4,964$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.53 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Reds | 3c | 4,910$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 23c | 4,666$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.94 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 42c | 4,270$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Dodgers | 58c | 3,815$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.41 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 43c | 3,210$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dodgers | 59c | 3,015$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.01 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Reds | 41c | 3,010$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.08 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 41c | 2,727$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.96 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Dodgers | 57c | 2,337$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.43 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 52c | 2,291$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 5c | 2,152$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 2,083$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Dodgers | 59c | 2,005$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.05 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Reds | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 42c | 1,849$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.15 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers | 57c | 1,776$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.67 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,508$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.68 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,254$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.68 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Reds | 1c | 1,207$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Reds | 40c | 1,112$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.75 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Reds | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Dodgers | 57c | 1,020$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.51 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.47 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Reds | 43c | 636.42$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.18 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Dodgers | 68c | 632.33$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Dodgers | 56c | 597.67$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.31 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Dodgers | 68c | 568.03$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Reds | 41c | 562.05$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Dodgers | 57c | 553.63$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Reds | 39c | 532.91$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 38c | 530$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Reds | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Dodgers | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 59c | 499.95$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Reds | 16c | 498.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Dodgers | 69c | 483$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Dodgers | 69c | 469$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Reds | 15c | 463.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Reds | 13c | 444.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Reds | 39c | 443.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Reds | 3c | 437.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Dodgers | 56c | 373.24$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 4c | 350.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 23c | 349.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Dodgers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 321.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…31d4backed Dodgers | 54c | 318.52$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Dodgers | 60c | 315.05$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Dodgers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Dodgers | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 41c | 299.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 5c | 282$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Dodgers | 57c | 264.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Dodgers | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 59c | 254.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Dodgers | 59c | 245$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 61c | 242.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Reds | 42c | 241.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Reds | 41c | 226.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 43c | 226.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 224.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Dodgers | 59c | 222.4$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Reds | 43c | 211.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…8894backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…d661backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…4508backed Reds | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…8065backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…d3eabacked Reds | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…3e8dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…bdf5backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…d412backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…51d0backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…0700backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…0d4bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…3468backed Reds | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…7207backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…0e39backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf372…d63dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.