Boxing · resolved market
KO in the Ansem/Barney fight?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464056cc5e410485122541ba59710ba76b29f0c141c92cfaadbfa9bb6889d337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 25c | 6,328$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 76c | 4,924$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 19c | 4,683$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 78c | 3,356$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 22c | 2,491$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 78c | 1,985$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Yes | 21c | 1,094$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 23c | 822$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 19c | 800$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…2dc9backed Yes | 23c | 502.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +333.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 80c | 460$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fe…b245backed No | 77c | 259.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 77c | 164.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…0285backed No | 77c | 85.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.