Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe95d2a8d6c44a6341ecd491f9bb64779535ff7a73a13d6fe14fcbb4669ca8fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof FunPlus Phoenix, Nova Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Nova Esports | 30c | 3,648$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +484.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…36ffbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 1c | 2,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nova Esports | 17c | 1,541$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed FunPlus Phoenix | 44c | 1,048$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.74 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Nova Esports | 79c | 1,020$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 972$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 25c | 846.52$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Nova Esports | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FunPlus Phoenix | 43c | 450$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 72c | 396$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 68c | 332$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.34 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed FunPlus Phoenix | 45c | 88.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed FunPlus Phoenix | 44c | 47.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…f51cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 42c | 35.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.