Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C – Fritz vs. Davidovich Fokina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x057e7fa845d48d29b4d9f9e5ff28b92dc8849c7a070977475bec9477a2023f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fokinaof Fritz, Fokina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Fokina | 15c | 9,705$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,210.87 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fokina | 31c | 9,053$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.61 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Fritz | 38c | 6,786$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…e569backed Fritz | 73c | 5,413$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.35 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Fritz | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Fritz | 75c | 3,673$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.83 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Fritz | 78c | 3,613$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.8 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fokina | 22c | 2,553$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.91 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Fokina | 34c | 2,250$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.24 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Fokina | 29c | 1,925$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…060ebacked Fritz | 71c | 1,700$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Fritz | 77c | 1,455$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.19 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Fritz | 46c | 1,299$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.97 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Fokina | 51c | 1,085$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.62 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Fritz | 48c | 1,000$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fritz | 77c | 927.17$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.28 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Fokina | 50c | 903.83$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.6 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fritz | 66c | 802$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.53 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Fritz | 50c | 706.12$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Fritz | 77c | 684.09$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.75 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Fokina | 22c | 645$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.1 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Fritz | 77c | 578.74$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.96 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Fritz | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Fritz | 64c | 484.85$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Fritz | 77c | 373.54$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Fokina | 33c | 317.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.82 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fokina | 24c | 286.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Fritz | 76c | 261.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Fritz | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Fokina | 24c | 199.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Fritz | 77c | 197.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Fritz | 73c | 192.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Fritz | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Fritz | 75c | 115$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Fritz | 78c | 104.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Fritz | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Fokina | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fritz | 54c | 96.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Fokina | 23c | 85.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Fokina | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fokina | 24c | 67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Fokina | 37c | 61.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Fritz | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Fritz | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Fritz | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fritz | 71c | 42.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Fritz | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…8f9abacked Fritz | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…4cd5backed Fokina | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Fritz | 64c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.