MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Reds Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eda9e9ae22a87347a244884bac02661b19d9e8369fe70df0ff75cc4b021e1c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 79c | 90,346$70,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,403.74 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Reds | 26c | 35,000$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,100 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Reds | 13c | 31,857$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.21 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Reds | 12c | 20,000$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.33 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Reds | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Reds | 11c | 15,866$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Reds | 25c | 14,786$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.81 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Dodgers | 70c | 8,973$6,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Reds | 31c | 8,055$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Reds | 19c | 6,737$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.96 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Reds | 27c | 5,764$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.39 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Reds | 26c | 5,239$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.08 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 27c | 5,080$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Reds | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Reds | 23c | 2,643$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.89 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…48a2backed Dodgers | 72c | 2,559$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Reds | 29c | 2,102$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.98 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Reds | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Dodgers | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 71c | 1,318$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.08 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Reds | 28c | 1,110$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked Reds | 27c | 999.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…5823backed Reds | 29c | 560$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Reds | 26c | 499.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Reds | 10c | 311.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Dodgers | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Reds | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Reds | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Dodgers | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Reds | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Reds | 14c | 111.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked Dodgers | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…d15ebacked Dodgers | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…7764backed Reds | 28c | 66.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…ce26backed Reds | 28c | 61.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…1133backed Reds | 27c | 60.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…2089backed Reds | 27c | 49.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…a06abacked Reds | 27c | 44.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…0e2dbacked Reds | 27c | 40.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1c…d193backed Reds | 27c | 39.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…b659backed Dodgers | 73c | 38.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…ce4dbacked Dodgers | 74c | 38.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae7…9836backed Dodgers | 75c | 37.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…8754backed Dodgers | 74c | 36.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Dodgers | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…624dbacked Dodgers | 74c | 33.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e3…ff1abacked Dodgers | 73c | 33.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…7636backed Dodgers | 74c | 33.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…5e5bbacked Dodgers | 74c | 33.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf942…e4eebacked Dodgers | 74c | 33.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Dodgers | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…bc9ebacked Dodgers | 74c | 30.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…df13backed Dodgers | 75c | 28.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Dodgers | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…77d4backed Dodgers | 74c | 27.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad1…0b93backed Dodgers | 74c | 25.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…a0d3backed Dodgers | 73c | 22.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…2583backed Dodgers | 74c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…53f6backed Dodgers | 74c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…11e7backed Dodgers | 74c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda3…9e08backed Dodgers | 74c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Dodgers | 74c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…bdf4backed Dodgers | 74c | 17.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…0004backed Dodgers | 74c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0a…d177backed Dodgers | 74c | 15.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Dodgers | 73c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…d018backed Dodgers | 74c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.