CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: G2 vs. Vitality
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x783601068e34e0fc72c878c00e597d93ab5636bb9153e292540fecdc7f799a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof G2, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked G2 | 13c | 13,040$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.14 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed G2 | 14c | 7,759$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.1 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 | 0c | 6,831$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked G2 | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed G2 | 7c | 1,800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed G2 | 14c | 950$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked G2 | 13c | 725$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed G2 | 10c | 588$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed G2 | 2c | 568.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…7eebbacked G2 | 5c | 430$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed G2 | 12c | 394.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed G2 | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed G2 | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed G2 | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed G2 | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed G2 | 12c | 230$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed G2 | 13c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked G2 | 12c | 169.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked G2 | 17c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed G2 | 12c | 119.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked G2 | 14c | 96.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed G2 | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.