Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Nongshim Red Force
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41dd610bbb82cb335aaff31d0d0a723ef922e3d1fdfb8c921b1d4956ae7a6f5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolsterof KT Rolster, Nongshim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed KT Rolster | 68c | 70,593$47,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,763.4 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Nongshim | 32c | 44,298$14,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,175.31 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nongshim | 50c | 11,308$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.72 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nongshim | 29c | 8,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed KT Rolster | 75c | 6,726$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.36 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Nongshim | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Nongshim | 20c | 5,923$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.82 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed KT Rolster | 65c | 5,113$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.93 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Nongshim | 33c | 4,192$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.36 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Nongshim | 33c | 3,094$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.02 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked KT Rolster | 68c | 2,244$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.08 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Nongshim | 38c | 1,254$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.76 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Nongshim | 5c | 1,141$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Nongshim | 21c | 1,010$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked Nongshim | 23c | 1,010$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim | 32c | 1,000$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Nongshim | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…b9e1backed Nongshim | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nongshim | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Nongshim | 31c | 980.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Nongshim | 31c | 897.9$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.35 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed KT Rolster | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Nongshim | 33c | 758.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d2…67b4backed KT Rolster | 56c | 660$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KT Rolster | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nongshim | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Nongshim | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nongshim | 32c | 493.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…22efbacked KT Rolster | 70c | 429.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked KT Rolster | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…1d75backed KT Rolster | 56c | 340$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nongshim | 33c | 335.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim | 32c | 323.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…ba68backed Nongshim | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked KT Rolster | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Nongshim | 7c | 264.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked KT Rolster | 52c | 263.8$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed KT Rolster | 64c | 237.21$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Nongshim | 32c | 232.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…33c1backed KT Rolster | 60c | 206.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked KT Rolster | 55c | 177.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…6b4fbacked KT Rolster | 63c | 154.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed KT Rolster | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed KT Rolster | 68c | 148.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed KT Rolster | 68c | 147.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed KT Rolster | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed KT Rolster | 68c | 146.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…524bbacked KT Rolster | 65c | 134.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…998bbacked KT Rolster | 68c | 131.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…117bbacked Nongshim | 39c | 126.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed KT Rolster | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Nongshim | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed Nongshim | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nongshim | 33c | 91.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nongshim | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed KT Rolster | 68c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Nongshim | 31c | 84.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed KT Rolster | 69c | 78.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed KT Rolster | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Nongshim | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…531fbacked KT Rolster | 62c | 52.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed KT Rolster | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Nongshim | 32c | 31.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked KT Rolster | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31cc…b804backed KT Rolster | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked KT Rolster | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked KT Rolster | 68c | 20.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Rolster | 78c | 20.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.