Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Ruud vs. Cerundolo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x407a15d0a1643d217e6fbe31130304e4cd9ce58ca5e1c7c123448d1f0e906a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Ruud, Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Ruud | 28c | 19,109$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.38 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cerundolo | 79c | 18,822$14,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.04 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…d274backed Cerundolo | 28c | 10,566$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cerundolo | 31c | 8,419$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845.7 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ruud | 74c | 7,578$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.49 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Ruud | 68c | 6,846$4,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Ruud | 73c | 6,039$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385.93 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Ruud | 57c | 3,532$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Cerundolo | 20c | 2,948$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.65 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Ruud | 60c | 2,487$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.33 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Ruud | 69c | 2,187$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Cerundolo | 19c | 2,140$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.05 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Cerundolo | 35c | 1,978$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.31 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Ruud | 76c | 1,977$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Ruud | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ruud | 80c | 1,317$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.49 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Ruud | 80c | 1,226$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.11 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cerundolo | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cerundolo | 13c | 766.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.12 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…c0cfbacked Ruud | 54c | 761$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Cerundolo | 14c | 735.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.71 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cerundolo | 19c | 707.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.91 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Ruud | 52c | 606.47$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.26 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Ruud | 66c | 506.13$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.64 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cerundolo | 20c | 501$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.26 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Cerundolo | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Cerundolo | 14c | 431.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.88 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Ruud | 41c | 399.57$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Ruud | 53c | 397.07$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cerundolo | 80c | 390.19$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked Ruud | 59c | 380.37$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ruud | 70c | 330$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cerundolo | 29c | 315$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Cerundolo | 80c | 210.08$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Ruud | 62c | 208.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Ruud | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Ruud | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Ruud | 24c | 181.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Ruud | 61c | 128.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Cerundolo | 50c | 128.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Cerundolo | 19c | 124.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Ruud | 9c | 122.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cerundolo | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Cerundolo | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cerundolo | 19c | 79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Ruud | 34c | 63.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ee…6198backed Ruud | 68c | 54.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Cerundolo | 54c | 51.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…db19backed Ruud | 47c | 48.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…0e40backed Ruud | 77c | 30.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Cerundolo | 41c | 27.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…6be1backed Ruud | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Ruud | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.