Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb828af62ad629849a3a3f8a2827d6dbe3e24b1feb25ff55dbc49f9f1f45290c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 45,135$21,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,075.64 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 32,857$15,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,692.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed NIP | 54c | 25,285$13,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,653.95 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked NIP | 53c | 20,805$11,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,026.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked NIP | 54c | 20,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed NIP | 54c | 13,142$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,096.68 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 13,000$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 4,010$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.7 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed NIP | 54c | 4,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 53c | 3,117$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.58 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 2,990$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.82 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked NIP | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed NIP | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed NIP | 28c | 1,814$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.93 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked NIP | 55c | 1,779$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.69 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked EDward Gaming | 70c | 1,160$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.6 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed NIP | 52c | 1,117$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.51 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed NIP | 14c | 1,050$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed EDward Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed NIP | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked NIP | 50c | 928.24$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.12 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed NIP | 54c | 881.48$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked NIP | 53c | 840.06$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.23 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked NIP | 55c | 701.49$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.82 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked NIP | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…22efbacked NIP | 54c | 550$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed NIP | 53c | 319.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked NIP | 35c | 313.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed EDward Gaming | 75c | 267.53$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed NIP | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed NIP | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked NIP | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked NIP | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed NIP | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…f37bbacked NIP | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked NIP | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked NIP | 48c | 180.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked NIP | 54c | 180.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NIP | 32c | 166.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…62cfbacked NIP | 33c | 151.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed NIP | 54c | 124.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed NIP | 26c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed NIP | 31c | 97.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked NIP | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NIP | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked EDward Gaming | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…9714backed NIP | 37c | 54.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed NIP | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…0790backed NIP | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…ab92backed NIP | 54c | 33.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked NIP | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NIP | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 23.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed NIP | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.