CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22dffa888fb5a192054303172b0cb84b295e14909eb1d9a0027b1b400c75a21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Inner Circle Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 20,209$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 15,822$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.7 | 219 | 24.2%53 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Inner Circle Esports | 6c | 7,848$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.76 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Inner Circle Esports | 26c | 5,800$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.61 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 3,576$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.13 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 3,136$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.75 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Inner Circle Esports | 31c | 2,423$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.69 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Spirit | 75c | 1,938$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.61 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked Inner Circle Esports | 13c | 1,800$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 1,796$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.49 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Inner Circle Esports | 30c | 1,691$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.83 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Inner Circle Esports | 25c | 1,203$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 1,001$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Spirit | 73c | 796.43$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…093ebacked Spirit | 69c | 723.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c5…f4c5backed Spirit | 74c | 677.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Spirit | 75c | 600$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Inner Circle Esports | 29c | 593.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Inner Circle Esports | 11c | 538.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Inner Circle Esports | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Spirit | 75c | 420.3$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…bda7backed Spirit | 63c | 318.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Inner Circle Esports | 11c | 310.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Spirit | 57c | 272.8$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Spirit | 51c | 272.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 269$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 29c | 265.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 25c | 172.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit | 74c | 144$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed Inner Circle Esports | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Inner Circle Esports | 13c | 134.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Spirit | 67c | 125.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Spirit | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Inner Circle Esports | 10c | 110.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Inner Circle Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed Inner Circle Esports | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Spirit | 62c | 92.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Spirit | 72c | 85.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…0e33backed Spirit | 74c | 66.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Spirit | 74c | 54.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Spirit | 56c | 51.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Spirit | 77c | 50.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Spirit | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…2090backed Inner Circle Esports | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…22abbacked Spirit | 41c | 48.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Spirit | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Spirit | 74c | 28.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Spirit | 47c | 25.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed Spirit | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Spirit | 65c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Spirit | 74c | 18.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.