TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

FISSURE Playground 2: The MongolZ vs. 3DMAX

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof The MongolZ, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4047…7293backed 3DMAX22c5,476$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,274.9845848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed 3DMAX26c4,531$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.8921645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed 3DMAX20c3,603$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.649329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed The MongolZ79c3,500$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.9919860.1%119 W · 79 L-15.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-8.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed 3DMAX40c2,989$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.9327345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed The MongolZ80c2,533$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.154942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX66c2,036$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.21,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked The MongolZ79c1,999$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.852171.4%15 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked The MongolZ61c1,769$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0752065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed 3DMAX29c1,447$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.916335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed The MongolZ73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked 3DMAX30c1,195$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.6616357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed The MongolZ65c1,125$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.7412131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8005,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked The MongolZ78c925$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7226643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked 3DMAX47c910.38$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.320855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed The MongolZ75c899$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.2558961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed 3DMAX20c850$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68011030.9%34 W · 76 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked The MongolZ56c802.5$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44724440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed The MongolZ71c749.14$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.7833456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed The MongolZ80c725.33$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.2621251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX20c700$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed The MongolZ80c688.21$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.5773758.2%429 W · 308 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 3DMAX44c682.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.1564652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked 3DMAX20c599.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.168838.6%34 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed The MongolZ53c536.29$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.187732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed The MongolZ66c516.35$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.4224554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed 3DMAX25c509.04$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.784656.5%26 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb85d…49eabacked The MongolZ52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed The MongolZ80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked The MongolZ61c450.73$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5325039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked 3DMAX31c439.27$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.2926351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed The MongolZ71c420.39$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.487031.4%22 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed The MongolZ80c418.33$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.664369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed The MongolZ79c368.47$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0926344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed The MongolZ80c348.65$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9242638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed The MongolZ80c340$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27214148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed The MongolZ79c334.78$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4856738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed The MongolZ38c331.81$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0946340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed 3DMAX40c327.29$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked 3DMAX39c325$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7517236.6%63 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed The MongolZ76c324.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4923351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed 3DMAX21c304.76$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7696945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed The MongolZ62c300$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.218724.1%45 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked The MongolZ53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15913235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed 3DMAX46c299.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9928351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked The MongolZ79c260$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.42944.8%13 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-34.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed The MongolZ38c258.66$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.918636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e8…da92backed 3DMAX22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed The MongolZ71c217.22$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15569253.6%371 W · 321 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed The MongolZ76c200$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15114540.7%59 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked The MongolZ56c194.24$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4914233.8%48 W · 94 L-18.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x02aa…9c2abacked The MongolZ63c152.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3228964%185 W · 104 L+1.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed The MongolZ65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.563445.3%287 W · 347 L-2.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed 3DMAX21c150$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.525941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed The MongolZ62c133.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.611044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5284…4e87backed 3DMAX80c125.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.011070%7 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked The MongolZ80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed The MongolZ80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1796…a893backed The MongolZ35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed The MongolZ63c113$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.548247.6%39 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed The MongolZ69c111.65$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720157.7%116 W · 85 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed 3DMAX23c103.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7511625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked The MongolZ78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788155.6%45 W · 36 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked 3DMAX21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7917633%58 W · 118 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked 3DMAX21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2412654.8%69 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed 3DMAX21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.244748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked The MongolZ49c91.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511147.7%53 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed The MongolZ55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030139.5%119 W · 182 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked The MongolZ80c88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.41030%3 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-50.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66d5…a746backed The MongolZ58c81.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa4…c833backed The MongolZ53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed The MongolZ78c77.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5712843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed 3DMAX29c75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.258737.9%33 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked The MongolZ76c69.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.571,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed The MongolZ52c69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.882133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked The MongolZ78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504959.2%29 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked The MongolZ71c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.635454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed 3DMAX21c57.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1485946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed The MongolZ74c52.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.724035%14 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked The MongolZ51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53426.5%9 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked The MongolZ48c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.084822.9%11 W · 37 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked The MongolZ79c40$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed The MongolZ75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-59.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked The MongolZ78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8548…e4c1backed The MongolZ72c23.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.682665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed The MongolZ80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610252%53 W · 49 L-12.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb545…a530backed The MongolZ80c16.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2706…7dc3backed The MongolZ80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ddd…6144backed The MongolZ80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.