Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wichita State Shockers vs. Charlotte 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x346fcdbe5c17d976bfa2d9778d6f22a4c18e31ec49d2f0b37e4b3384751ac793
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte 49ersof Wichita State Shockers, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Charlotte 49ers | 10c | 2,157$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.35 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wichita State Shockers | 62c | 1,674$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.01 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wichita State Shockers | 62c | 1,573$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.53 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Charlotte 49ers | 22c | 1,411$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.92 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Wichita State Shockers | 1c | 1,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Wichita State Shockers | 1c | 1,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wichita State Shockers | 49c | 1,270$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.27 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 33c | 1,080$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Wichita State Shockers | 54c | 995.28$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.46 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wichita State Shockers | 71c | 885$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.65 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Wichita State Shockers | 5c | 854.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Wichita State Shockers | 7c | 800$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Charlotte 49ers | 34c | 711.12$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.67 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Wichita State Shockers | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wichita State Shockers | 67c | 484.48$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.89 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte 49ers | 23c | 467.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 426.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.15 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 30c | 384$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 382.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Charlotte 49ers | 7c | 321.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.11 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wichita State Shockers | 70c | 269.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wichita State Shockers | 40c | 225.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wichita State Shockers | 61c | 224$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed Wichita State Shockers | 68c | 201.34$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 28c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Charlotte 49ers | 28c | 183.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wichita State Shockers | 67c | 160.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Wichita State Shockers | 65c | 151.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 29c | 135.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Charlotte 49ers | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wichita State Shockers | 69c | 125.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Charlotte 49ers | 36c | 119$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wichita State Shockers | 54c | 118$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Wichita State Shockers | 79c | 115.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Wichita State Shockers | 50c | 114.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked Wichita State Shockers | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Charlotte 49ers | 41c | 62.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Wichita State Shockers | 73c | 57.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Charlotte 49ers | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Charlotte 49ers | 70c | 48.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…325ebacked Wichita State Shockers | 30c | 47.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wichita State Shockers | 70c | 42.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…bf50backed Charlotte 49ers | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Charlotte 49ers | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wichita State Shockers | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Charlotte 49ersthis page
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-6.5)Charlotte 49ers won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.