TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Richmond Spiders vs. Fordham Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Richmond Spidersof Richmond Spiders, Fordham Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc323…0171backed Richmond Spiders59c4,956$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.936543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fordham Rams41c3,605$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.2412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Richmond Spiders49c2,500$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.246446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Richmond Spiders70c2,311$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.91,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Richmond Spiders67c1,852$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.282,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Fordham Rams47c1,409$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.814,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Fordham Rams41c1,079$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.3940147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Richmond Spiders51c932.33$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.365,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Fordham Rams19c836.58$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.782,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Richmond Spiders56c620$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.962,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Fordham Rams44c568.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.921,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Richmond Spiders59c509.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.043964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Fordham Rams67c449.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004652.2%24 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f49…1befbacked Fordham Rams16c436$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.45714%8 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Richmond Spiders80c435.13$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.751,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Richmond Spiders75c328.82$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.873549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Fordham Rams57c308.21$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.371,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Richmond Spiders68c272.32$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.121,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Fordham Rams40c225$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9042327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Fordham Rams41c205$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Richmond Spiders52c185$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9649747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Fordham Rams40c165.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Richmond Spiders60c153.54$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.792,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f19…325ebacked Richmond Spiders57c151.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.111540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Richmond Spiders73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.237467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Fordham Rams46c113$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Richmond Spiders71c110$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.848051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fb…d13abacked Richmond Spiders80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204070%28 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Fordham Rams60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Richmond Spiders71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2936845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fordham Rams29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.894,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Richmond Spiders64c71.62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.795,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Fordham Rams32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Fordham Rams25c60.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9449043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Fordham Rams35c49.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2866831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Richmond Spiders67c45.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.253646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b0d…5087backed Fordham Rams38c36.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-76.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Richmond Spiders56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Fordham Rams38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.322756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Richmond Spiders70c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.621,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Fordham Rams30c33.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.064330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Fordham Rams53c32.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Fordham Rams41c30.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.361250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fordham Rams52c29.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.591,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Fordham Rams49c28.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fordham Rams44c24.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.783,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Fordham Rams43c23.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1521535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Richmond Spiders67c21.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.07580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Richmond Spiders57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.612354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb694…023ebacked Fordham Rams72c14.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.791758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.