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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. North Dakota State Bison

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Dakota State Bisonof Oral Roberts Golden Eagles, North Dakota State Bison
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles32c5,580$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.95,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed North Dakota State Bison65c3,603$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.443,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Dakota State Bison79c2,748$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.161,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c46…3ceebacked North Dakota State Bison62c1,550$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles3c960.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.061478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd0…190abacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles33c860.8$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles26c763.78$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.251,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed North Dakota State Bison64c633.13$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.752,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked North Dakota State Bison67c594.54$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.231,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Dakota State Bison66c567.03$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.522,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed North Dakota State Bison64c566.47$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.642,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles23c525.34$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8319050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Dakota State Bison73c457.99$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.91,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles28c374.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.213,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles44c371.52$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6912354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked North Dakota State Bison75c361.71$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.364,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles3c325$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles40c248.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed North Dakota State Bison72c198.86$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6836845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles29c175$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7542327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles10c154.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.451,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f19…325ebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed North Dakota State Bison78c97.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4812840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles24c89.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.769412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a1…a993backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota State Bison69c71.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.364,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed North Dakota State Bison74c67.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.591838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa848…68fcbacked North Dakota State Bison76c65.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.832646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles22c63.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed North Dakota State Bison69c60.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles30c50.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles28c47.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed North Dakota State Bison72c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6849746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd1…0b70backed North Dakota State Bison79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.24770.2%33 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked North Dakota State Bison72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4261446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.