Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1132d19c2c1bb2a6897075d176050dd746e745fb2c051c1e913dbb2030c31be9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Fighting Hawksof South Dakota State Jackrabbits, North Dakota Fighting Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 46c | 1,785$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.09 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 62c | 1,360$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 36c | 1,088$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.59 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 37c | 991.43$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.26 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 62c | 866.89$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.09 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 75c | 693$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 39c | 621.28$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.4 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 25c | 487.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 57c | 450$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.64 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 7c | 335$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 35c | 276.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 5c | 229$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 25c | 203$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 24c | 200.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 58c | 187$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 63c | 165.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 45c | 165.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 15c | 164$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 41c | 158.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 45c | 149.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 42c | 75.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 43c | 32.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…9b23backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 68c | 29.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…2d96backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…c06cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksthis page
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 149.5Over won
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-7.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
- Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-8.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.