Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Fiona Ferro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bca2207041807efad42bfc5f41957e303a1040994d2e74b63ff54d018dddc8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhangof Zhang, Ferro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Ferro | 21c | 1,998$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.72 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ferro | 3c | 974.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ferro | 16c | 732.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc401…1247backed Ferro | 30c | 392.17$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ferro | 19c | 374.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Ferro | 12c | 321.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zhang | 79c | 317.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zhang | 80c | 117.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Zhang | 78c | 109.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Ferro | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Ferro | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Ferro | 33c | 90.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Ferro | 16c | 85.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zhang | 79c | 71.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…3badbacked Ferro | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Zhang | 79c | 50.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Ferro | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Zhang | 28c | 36.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Zhang | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Zhang | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Zhang | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed Zhang | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Fiona Ferrothis page
- Zhang vs. Ferro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.