Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Rebecca Sramkova vs Lizette Cabrera
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc249bdc40b4cf7d9d7f253f91f62d52450dc3853803f6e7d71ca1d9bea034d47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sramkovaof Sramkova, Cabrera
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Sramkova | 75c | 2,379$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.31 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Cabrera | 56c | 1,501$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.61 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cabrera | 25c | 1,378$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.82 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cabrera | 4c | 999$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sramkova | 47c | 913.25$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.49 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Sramkova | 75c | 907.88$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Cabrera | 24c | 699.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cabrera | 28c | 600.44$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cabrera | 25c | 514.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cabrera | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cabrera | 29c | 375.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Cabrera | 24c | 308.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cabrera | 35c | 281.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Cabrera | 25c | 223.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Cabrera | 36c | 222.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Cabrera | 37c | 219.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Sramkova | 78c | 214.65$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Cabrera | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cabrera | 25c | 173.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Cabrera | 32c | 150.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sramkova | 46c | 147.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Sramkova | 67c | 147.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Sramkova | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Sramkova | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Sramkova | 64c | 129.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 729 | 57.3%418 W · 311 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sramkova | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Cabrera | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Cabrera | 29c | 68.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Sramkova | 73c | 67.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Cabrera | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…2030backed Sramkova | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Sramkova | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Sramkova | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed Sramkova | 77c | 29.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Sramkova | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Sramkova | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Sramkova | 66c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Sramkova | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Sramkova | 75c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Rebecca Sramkova vs Lizette Cabrerathis page
- Set Handicap: Sramkova (-1.5) vs Cabrera (+1.5)Sramkova won
- Sramkova vs. Cabrera: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.