Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19db75f05397e14a8780aaefffa68fa0a94b38954afbc183871236b65752c35b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 10,272$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 74c | 10,166$7,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.61 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 68c | 5,135$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 2,895$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 1,215$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.56 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 1,185$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.36 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 899.16$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.47 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 4c | 590$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 423$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 422.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 68c | 420.25$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 417.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 377.68$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 192.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked No | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 47c | 123.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 51c | 119.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked No | 57c | 92.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 70.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…7fc7backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 40c | 51.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 59c | 44.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 67c | 44.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…f60cbacked Yes | 32c | 43.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 42.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 38.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 42c | 32.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…e2e7backed No | 58c | 20.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 69c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.