Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe20fdc13b7272cd15a96adbdfac33626a79c8b4c01439d121cb6c7dd1acc6017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 34c | 9,872$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.78 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 31c | 8,331$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 4,362$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.14 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 2,532$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.43 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 31c | 1,421$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 33c | 882.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.17 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed No | 59c | 731.7$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 41c | 731.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Yes | 33c | 454.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 406$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 12c | 254.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 68c | 215.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 203.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 183.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 32c | 179.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 30c | 166.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 31c | 148.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 115$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 30c | 112.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 84.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 70c | 79.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 33c | 69.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 66.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 62.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 34c | 45.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed No | 69c | 40.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 68c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 66c | 17.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 16.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 70c | 16.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.