Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7041015920cebab7e41d1b1a20da6bae42723baa52354e56efc508da899637f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 16c | 8,460$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,106.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed No | 70c | 1,129$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 1,008$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 78c | 656.01$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 27c | 555$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 71c | 514.84$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.3 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 447.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.11 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 356.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 16c | 297.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.31 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 33c | 260.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.53 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 5c | 237.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…ef4cbacked No | 25c | 214.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 16c | 196.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 181.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 50c | 151.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 37c | 135.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked No | 11c | 118.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 67c | 116.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 61c | 104$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 46c | 102$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…6222backed Yes | 17c | 95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 62c | 89.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes | 58c | 78.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 61c | 78.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 21c | 72.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…aa3fbacked Yes | 16c | 68.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +102%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 22c | 57.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Yes | 66c | 45.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 66c | 35.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 53c | 26.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Yes | 55c | 23.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…896ebacked Yes | 78c | 22.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-11?No won
- Will Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.