Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x801b443d4437178aeb4b32fd6d174ff31d349b34751789fe4b3ab1f91001c7b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 22c | 4,045$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 59c | 2,087$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.65 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Yes | 57c | 1,793$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 51c | 1,312$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.67 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 602.4$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 584.24$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 440.17$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 65c | 367.47$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked No | 79c | 278.76$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 256.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 26c | 194.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 11c | 183.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 21c | 142.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 32c | 101.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 64c | 96.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…6222backed Yes | 22c | 95.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 51c | 59.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Yes | 48c | 43.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed No | 73c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 36c | 30.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 60c | 29.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed No | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 41c | 28.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 55c | 27.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 55c | 24.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…3cfabacked No | 77c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 69c | 18.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 80c | 14.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken end in a draw?this page
- Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-11?No won
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.