Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x602257fc8787ea3369e9cf75e71ea14f479e64982fdd7b25311039a15f42808e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 3,926$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.68 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,287$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,953$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.04 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 16c | 1,711$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 68c | 1,378$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.9 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 35c | 1,070$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 27c | 955.53$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.92 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…1a69backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 22c | 619.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 15c | 580.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 494.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 15c | 445.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 15c | 392.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 15c | 341.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 235.26$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 35c | 221.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 161.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 16c | 142.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 21c | 122.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…195cbacked Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 37c | 113.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 16c | 112.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 12c | 97.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 18c | 93.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes | 21c | 93.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 30c | 66.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 34c | 58.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 25c | 54.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Yes | 36c | 51.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Yes | 29c | 45.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…3b78backed Yes | 35c | 34.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?Yes won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.