Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a41e003ad892b29a7867cfa740f9c756942fe25bebc52a0c678049828cea72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 1,965$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.16 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 1,885$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.61 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 1,769$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.17 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 591.41$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.22 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 44c | 456.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 335.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 57c | 317.76$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 51c | 286.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 19c | 283.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 32c | 269.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 250.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Under | 23c | 202.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…f3fabacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 48c | 172.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 67c | 148.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 38c | 146.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 30c | 143.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 128.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under | 52c | 95.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Under | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 57c | 90.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 77c | 89.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 30c | 72.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 57c | 71.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Under | 22c | 69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 32c | 62.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 56.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 48.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 23c | 48.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…f911backed Over | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Under | 52c | 42.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 66c | 29.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 214 | 74.3%159 W · 55 L | +44.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 62c | 23.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 58c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.