Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a972a0725fdb989917c46c767722b8b6c3154f9f70dc3adfe539cc25c08224b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 63c | 809.84$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.64 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 37c | 809.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 510.82$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 31c | 57.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 33c | 56.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 56.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 40c | 49.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 39.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 40c | 34.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Under | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 39c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Over | 70c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 69c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae95…011abacked Over | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.