TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,905 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c3,449$1,145 inWon+$2,304.432,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…080dbacked Over59c1,978$1,176 inLost-$1,176.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over59c745.98$440 inLost-$4406453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under30c726.47$215 inWon+$511.591,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Over78c640.99$500 inLost-$499.98771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick77cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c627.95$388 inLost-$388.0782842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over72c521.02$374 inLost-$374.042540%10 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe496…b071backed Over69c289.86$200 inLost-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Over50c289.81$145 inLost-$144.913435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+141.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c174.16$47 inWon+$127.145,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under21c149.35$31 inWon+$118.2356445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over74c135.14$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under64c132.55$85 inWon+$47.842857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa429…ef32backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under50c80$40 inWon+$405743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under49c65.3$32 inWon+$33.126136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over45c50$23 inLost-$22.55626.8%15 W · 41 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid+58.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over67c48$32 inLost-$32.271154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a0…e8b9backed Under53c47.95$25 inWon+$22.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over47c27.87$13 inLost-$13.061,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under50c23.68$12 inWon+$11.8414949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over64c17.67$11 inLost-$11.263964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over68c15$10 inLost-$10.26756.7%38 W · 29 L-8.5wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.