TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,650 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over42c1,600$672 inLost-$671.993933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under58c1,150$667 inWon+$483.153268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c371.64$126 inWon+$245.625,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under58c250$145 inWon+$1057844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over66c196.02$129 inLost-$129.3736352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over52c175$91 inLost-$914678.3%36 W · 10 L+11.6wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+49.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over65c174.7$114 inLost-$113.561,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c166.53$85 inWon+$81.512,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under35c153.12$54 inWon+$99.576349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over66c115.06$76 inLost-$76.21,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under58c87.93$51 inWon+$36.9310441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under58c87.93$51 inWon+$36.938341%34 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over66c68.38$45 inLost-$45.138859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under42c50$21 inWon+$295844.8%26 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over58c50$29 inLost-$2927639.5%109 W · 167 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over31c36.77$11 inLost-$11.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over66c30$20 inLost-$19.853946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Under58c28.5$17 inWon+$11.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over42c28.5$12 inLost-$11.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed5…472bbacked Under71c28.17$20 inWon+$8.171070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under58c20$12 inWon+$8.46041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.