Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4202608f349e69ee263bf9ca90c16d3d37b85c63b402adf74bb8c50511794301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 43c | 794.52$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 738.22$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.31 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 522.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…bd90backed Over | 71c | 430$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 29c | 430$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 57c | 284.03$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0e…952fbacked Under | 58c | 263.28$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 254.83$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 212.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 71c | 204.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 201.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Under | 56c | 183.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 154.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 57c | 148.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 124.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…3616backed Over | 38c | 86.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 56c | 58.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 54.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 71c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 52.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 56c | 46.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 47c | 46.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 41c | 43.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 29c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 57c | 28.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 50c | 22.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 58c | 21.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Over | 71c | 20.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Jeju SK FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.