Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c971c04d9fae4ddc82dc0d604738769a1880023bfa5e537d730876060010cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 57c | 12,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.97 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Over | 43c | 5,010$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 3,330$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.02 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 23c | 2,970$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.71 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 1,978$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.39 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 43c | 1,006$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.57 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 997.58$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.96 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Over | 27c | 749.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 734.07$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.65 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 732.64$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.94 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 313.26$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 43c | 270.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 43c | 270.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 243.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 44c | 200.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 43c | 172.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Under | 57c | 163.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 162$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 70c | 142.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf95…ace5backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 75.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 51.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 36c | 47.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 43c | 47.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 45.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 44c | 41.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 43c | 37.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 36c | 29.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 65c | 20.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 56c | 18.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Jeju SK FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.