Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1f060ae012e65585a80ed8011cae0fdaf2f45624236955c49e76080cdd57394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over | 46c | 10,786$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,785.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Over | 26c | 4,609$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 3,180$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.63 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 3,098$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.3 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 56c | 2,624$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.89 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 2,512$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.92 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 54c | 2,244$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.21 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 46c | 2,107$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.59 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 2,019$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.47 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 1,737$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 1,253$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.63 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…d3b9backed Under | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 948.15$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 29c | 776.53$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.47 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 6c | 721.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +165.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 2c | 714.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 515.38$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.77 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 43c | 473.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.07 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 54c | 464.54$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.85 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 32c | 416.59$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.28 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 78c | 371.34$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.39 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 73c | 353.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 73c | 267.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 29c | 256.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 25c | 249.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.55 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 248.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 54c | 241.95$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 193.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 44c | 167.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 61c | 162.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 46c | 109.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 45c | 101.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 76c | 95.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 77c | 90.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 73c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 78.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 68c | 66.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 77c | 54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 52.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…ccbabacked Under | 60c | 51.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…75d7backed Under | 59c | 44.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 44.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…7f53backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 55c | 39.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 38.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…e8b9backed Under | 56c | 35.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 57c | 33.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 62c | 33.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bf…9100backed Over | 45c | 31.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 55c | 29.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 36c | 29.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 44c | 28.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 44c | 26.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 64c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 63c | 20.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…cf9ebacked Over | 68c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 63c | 16.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 3.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: ADO Den Haag O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: Go Ahead Eagles O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 0.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 2.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 4.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ADO Den Haag (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)ADO Den Haag won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.