Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa320fbaf6604555f885e58677ba9055af889965f8500edc85c054f609c0010eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 3,512$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 2,201$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.85 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Under | 48c | 1,749$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 987.54$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.83 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 872.42$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.86 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 780.61$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 66c | 778.14$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.83 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 715.17$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 665.09$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 64c | 618.75$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 35c | 568.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 62c | 498.56$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 52c | 265.43$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 58c | 205.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 20c | 196.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 67c | 194.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 49c | 185.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 80c | 179.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 176.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 148.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 44c | 142.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Under | 48c | 104.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 67c | 103.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 53c | 93.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 50c | 90.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 34c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 47c | 87.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 35c | 85.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 82.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 66c | 78.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 35c | 78.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 76.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 76.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 49c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 54.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Under | 40c | 45.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 38c | 39.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 37.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 32c | 34.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 73c | 32.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 63c | 32.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…4ebcbacked Under | 34c | 31.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 62c | 30.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 45c | 22.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 50c | 21.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 2.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: ADO Den Haag O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: Go Ahead Eagles O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 0.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 3.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 4.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ADO Den Haag (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)ADO Den Haag won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.