Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d51df1b131715244d48a9ca1d0c178f669f8a6025432a6743394aa2cabe0a66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 2,834$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.93 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 45c | 1,113$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.06 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 45c | 1,113$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 31c | 935.2$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.12 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Over | 45c | 662.33$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Over | 45c | 610.08$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc00…7f4bbacked Over | 45c | 486.11$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 279.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 236.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 184.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 26c | 132.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 41c | 107$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 45c | 93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 45c | 93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 45c | 93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 45c | 93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 66.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 45c | 37.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 58c | 28.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 45c | 22.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: ADO Den Haag O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: Go Ahead Eagles O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 0.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 2.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 3.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 4.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ADO Den Haag (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)ADO Den Haag won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.