MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a21921a9dad2575c6e27979f44decb5acdc270027113da17f74a49d9a6c87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Colorado Rockies, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,442,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,422,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,442,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Colorado Rockies | 31c | 3,503,755$1,103,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103,469.64 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 660,768$459,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,526.3 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 408,220$313,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,650.63 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 376,728$291,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,974.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 303,682$215,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,605.68 | 359 | 54.6%196 W · 163 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 300,000$210,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,000 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 204,443$124,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,052.13 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 176,782$100,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,016.46 | 556 | 53.2%296 W · 260 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 134,743$91,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,465.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 513 | 53.8%276 W · 237 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,000 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…25a1backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 95,000$65,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 87,394$37,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,579.35 | 490 | 49%240 W · 250 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 85,000$31,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,549.96 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 55,967$40,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,392.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 39,512$16,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,990.19 | 901 | 49.1%442 W · 459 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Washington Nationals | 65c | 38,000$24,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,120 | 1,159 | 49.3%571 W · 588 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 30,000$12,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,898.2 | 2,315 | 52.5%1,216 W · 1,099 L | +25.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 30,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 281 | 54.1%152 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 29,725$15,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,904.52 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 29,492$21,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,567.38 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 28,071$15,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,351.42 | 1,604 | 48.6%779 W · 825 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 27,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 25,877$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,127.08 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 992 | 49.9%495 W · 497 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 23,970$17,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.98 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 23,904$16,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,053.63 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 22,900$12,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,076 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 22,222$12,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,555.46 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +11.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…ab5abacked Washington Nationals | 78c | 19,600$15,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 19,323$14,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.67 | 1,738 | 50.4%876 W · 862 L | +57.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 15,480$10,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | +17.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Washington Nationals | 80c | 14,838$11,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.47 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 14,714$10,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.96 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 13,560$5,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,890.85 | 634 | 43.5%276 W · 358 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 13,294$10,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.87 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 13,286$10,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.73 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…53aebacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 548 | 51.3%281 W · 267 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc136…f3a3backed Colorado Rockies | 29c | 9,000$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 8,020$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.28 | 450 | 55.1%248 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 8,000$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Colorado Rockies | 9c | 7,924$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.13 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 7,839$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,436.97 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 7,300$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 6,870$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.1 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 6,416$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.33 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 6,320$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.4 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 6,000$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 503 | 51.9%261 W · 242 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 5,555$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.3 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 5,328$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.3 | 6,132 | 55.4%3,395 W · 2,737 L | +346.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…8edfbacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 4,523$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.33 | 997 | 50.1%499 W · 498 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 4,123$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.48 | 1,975 | 41.3%815 W · 1,160 L | -27.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 4,117$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 3,500$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 140 | 65%91 W · 49 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…5d31backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 3,279$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 2,965$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.49 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 2,900$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276 | 483 | 48.4%234 W · 249 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 2,862$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.23 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 2,642$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.32 | 720 | 53.3%384 W · 336 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 633 | 52.8%334 W · 299 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,598$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.14 | 384 | 49%188 W · 196 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,596$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.49 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 2,592$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.08 | 803 | 55.7%447 W · 356 L | +22.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…2e0dbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,350$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…9227backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 2,350$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 2,271$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.41 | 3,231 | 51.2%1,655 W · 1,576 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 2,227$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.69 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cf…d339backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 2,220$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,141$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.46 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 2,048$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.56 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 1,928$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.56 | 944 | 56.5%533 W · 411 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,918$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.46 | 753 | 50.6%381 W · 372 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Colorado Rockies | 28c | 1,800$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.26 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…a4a2backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 1,655$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.63 | 1,258 | 44%553 W · 705 L | -33.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,644$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.1 | 374 | 49.2%184 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…8a0dbacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 1,566$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 1,532$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.95 | 633 | 47.1%298 W · 335 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 1,486$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,204$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.76 | 1,478 | 51%754 W · 724 L | -19.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 1,203$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 1,187$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.41 | 1,018 | 25.2%257 W · 761 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…f333backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 1,122$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…f175backed Colorado Rockies | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 885 | 50.4%446 W · 439 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,052$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.97 | 581 | 53%308 W · 273 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 977.32$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.62 | 360 | 52.2%188 W · 172 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 1,548 | 48.6%753 W · 795 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.