MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0b24c0d202d6c3c15b3aa70fabc98df9a6c1274a42e885ceb2a9113d0b91c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,199.99 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 53c | 28,725$15,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,513.71 | 992 | 49.9%495 W · 497 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 47c | 24,305$11,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,881.89 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 11,507$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.54 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 48c | 10,675$5,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.01 | 513 | 53.8%276 W · 237 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 7,023$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.71 | 933 | 53.9%503 W · 430 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 6,469$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.23 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over | 47c | 6,198$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.27 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 3,739$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.52 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 3,598$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.12 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 3,004$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.28 | 901 | 49.1%442 W · 459 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 2,274$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 1,478 | 51%754 W · 724 L | -19.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 2,225$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.92 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 1,932$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.36 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 46c | 1,717$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.98 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 503 | 51.9%261 W · 242 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,354$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.94 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 51c | 1,199$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 816 | 47.4%387 W · 429 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 1,090$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.38 | 1,604 | 48.6%779 W · 825 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 830$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.15 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 49c | 816.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.6 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 67c | 774.26$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.34 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 487 | 45.2%220 W · 267 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 49c | 731.91$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.64 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 715$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.65 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 49c | 612.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.74 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 46c | 531.89$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 2,175 | 51.5%1,121 W · 1,054 L | +54.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 530.91$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.43 | 1,906 | 49.3%940 W · 966 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,855 | 50.6%939 W · 916 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 718 | 44.3%318 W · 400 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 457.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.16 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Over | 52c | 433.96$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.66 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 415$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.62 | 2,372 | 49.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 388.2$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 50c | 371.6$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 51c | 369$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3122…9d2fbacked Over | 51c | 311.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 581 | 39.4%229 W · 352 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 51c | 241.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 315 | 54%170 W · 145 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 123 | 56.1%69 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Over | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 41c | 193.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 1,267 | 58.5%741 W · 526 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 40c | 189.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 533 | 57.6%307 W · 226 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 54.2%193 W · 163 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…4e8ebacked Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Over | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 20c | 152.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 604 | 34.3%207 W · 397 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 56c | 149.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 41c | 139.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 342 | 33.9%116 W · 226 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 52c | 126.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 1,258 | 44%553 W · 705 L | -33.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed Over | 18c | 112.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 471 | 45.9%216 W · 255 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over | 41c | 96.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 462 | 58%268 W · 194 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 41c | 96.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 608 | 59.2%360 W · 248 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8553…61dbbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 46c | 96.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 51c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 50c | 88.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 747 | 52.5%392 W · 355 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Under | 48c | 87.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 83.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 3,036 | 48%1,458 W · 1,578 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 50c | 74.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2,077 | 39.3%817 W · 1,260 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 71.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b490backed Over | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 46c | 69.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,049 | 58.4%613 W · 436 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 25c | 65.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 5,861 | 43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L | -190.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 918 | 48.5%445 W · 473 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d14…6498backed Over | 50c | 58.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Over | 56c | 50.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 50c | 48.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Over | 46c | 47.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,044 | 48.9%511 W · 533 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 61c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 48c | 42.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 39.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…6d36backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…5557backed Over | 56c | 36.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…bbc4backed Over | 52c | 36.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd732…0fd0backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…3c91backed Over | 52c | 32.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…f3aabacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 27.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 872 | 54.2%473 W · 399 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3,231 | 51.2%1,655 W · 1,576 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,222 | 50%611 W · 611 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…5826backed Under | 49c | 23.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 487 | 43.3%211 W · 276 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…2383backed Over | 48c | 21.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.