Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dff38ef3edccebcd385e757eb5c60b73e32995d38caf3fc3a6947faef1d6101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, VfB Stuttgart
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 61,423$35,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,565.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 58,140$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,139.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 29,470$16,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,798.01 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed VfB Stuttgart | 56c | 25,293$14,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,242.05 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 23,013$9,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,347.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 15,328$6,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,860.04 | 310 | 45.2%140 W · 170 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…b397backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 14,240$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,259.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 14,000$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,259.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 9,690$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.35 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed VfB Stuttgart | 60c | 9,027$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460.63 | 480 | 30.6%147 W · 333 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 8,850$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,133 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 7,003$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.07 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 6,169$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.08 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 3,505$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…2351backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 3,363$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 3,270$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.76 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 2,851$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 2,847$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked VfB Stuttgart | 62c | 2,801$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed VfB Stuttgart | 60c | 2,258$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 2,250$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.35 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 2,091$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed VfB Stuttgart | 59c | 1,838$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.01 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 1,313$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.42 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 341 | 46%157 W · 184 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 433 | 45%195 W · 238 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked FC Bayern München | 49c | 1,082$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 1,019$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -90%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 975.7$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.89 | 274 | 45.3%124 W · 150 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 799.99$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 670$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed VfB Stuttgart | 56c | 664.37$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.29 | 860 | 32.7%281 W · 579 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 589.64$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed VfB Stuttgart | 62c | 566.48$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 565.43$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.48 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked VfB Stuttgart | 13c | 389.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 370$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 345$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked VfB Stuttgart | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 319.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed VfB Stuttgart | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 148 | 62.2%92 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 299.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.51 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…a7ecbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf122…7110backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 229.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked FC Bayern München | 56c | 224.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…6f42backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…2955backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed VfB Stuttgart | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed FC Bayern München | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 175.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked FC Bayern München | 38c | 173.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 34cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed VfB Stuttgart | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…9136backed FC Bayern München | 31c | 163.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FC Bayern München | 37c | 153.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FC Bayern München | 79c | 149.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…1b6bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 127.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…31a2backed VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 102$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed VfB Stuttgart | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…4c3abacked VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed VfB Stuttgart | 23c | 97.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 95.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed FC Bayern München | 66c | 91.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 85.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked VfB Stuttgart | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69d7…c25cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6d01backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed FC Bayern München | 55c | 78.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 75.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…0b95backed FC Bayern München | 56c | 71.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…d827backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed FC Bayern München | 55c | 69.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 60.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.