Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x481bd134f46cf2362ad5edb884d0a4246614d3936d42d04ff7decce8948c1294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 40c | 10,513$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.33 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 9,722$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,625 | 310 | 45.2%140 W · 170 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 9,635$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.22 | 480 | 30.6%147 W · 333 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 44c | 7,777$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 40c | 7,225$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 32c | 6,479$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.29 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 5,068$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.53 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…e059backed Over | 68c | 3,991$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 64c | 3,717$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.54 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 2,638$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.02 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Over | 44c | 2,440$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 46c | 2,220$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Over | 46c | 2,129$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed Over | 56c | 2,089$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 65c | 1,974$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.18 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 51c | 1,930$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 64c | 1,858$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 36c | 1,747$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.92 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 33c | 1,563$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.18 | 433 | 45%195 W · 238 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 48c | 1,550$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 60c | 1,402$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Under | 35c | 1,329$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 341 | 46%157 W · 184 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Over | 68c | 1,218$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 38c | 1,173$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 34c | 999.94$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.31 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…3050backed Over | 68c | 922.32$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 40c | 836.94$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 48c | 770$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +180%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…8fc3backed Over | 64c | 766.84$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Under | 32c | 687.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 67c | 643.99$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.03 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 4c | 640$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 629.81$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.56 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed Over | 45c | 620.52$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 575.26$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.4 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 66c | 559.51$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 32c | 512$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 55c | 490.53$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 69c | 411.75$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 67c | 390$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 62c | 366.08$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 61c | 364.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 61c | 360.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 52c | 328.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 29c | 328.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 67c | 302.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…9bf6backed Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 63c | 290.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +20.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 67c | 269.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked Under | 37c | 265.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 64c | 250.49$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 450 | 55.3%249 W · 201 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 65c | 239.91$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 39c | 205.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 68c | 201$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…9461backed Over | 64c | 196.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Over | 64c | 186.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 64c | 176.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…d574backed Under | 38c | 161.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…8d2ebacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Over | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 38c | 159$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 67c | 156.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 154$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 152.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x952e…4743backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 40c | 150.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 348 | 55.5%193 W · 155 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 148.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 166 | 64.5%107 W · 59 L | +29.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 138.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 164 | 57.9%95 W · 69 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 56c | 136.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 47c | 134.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 134.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 1,315 | 40.6%534 W · 781 L | -44.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 61c | 117.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 66c | 117.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Over | 65c | 105.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 35c | 102.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 40c | 92.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…963ebacked Over | 65c | 91.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Under | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…03f9backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.