Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34b7cb288dc51cda1508675b3bff956305a4e4c564ed4c5f0a6d1f9e00ea5e1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, VfB Stuttgart
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 39,532$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,531.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 18,275$6,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,737.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FC Bayern München | 62c | 13,494$8,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,139.83 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 12,880$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FC Bayern München | 64c | 12,206$7,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.44 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed VfB Stuttgart | 32c | 11,959$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.39 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 8,971$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.64 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed VfB Stuttgart | 38c | 8,641$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.87 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 7,694$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed VfB Stuttgart | 42c | 7,178$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.91 | 480 | 30.6%147 W · 333 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VfB Stuttgart | 35c | 7,053$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.73 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 6,621$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.66 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Bayern München | 66c | 6,453$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.11 | 310 | 45.2%140 W · 170 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 5,544$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 4,086$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.94 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked VfB Stuttgart | 36c | 3,750$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.5 | 433 | 45%195 W · 238 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 3,736$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 3,582$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 3,369$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 3,337$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked VfB Stuttgart | 38c | 2,788$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 2,729$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.64 | 1,691 | 45%761 W · 930 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Bayern München | 50c | 2,577$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.04 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…cd28backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 2,023$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed VfB Stuttgart | 38c | 1,988$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.18 | 274 | 45.3%124 W · 150 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 1,905$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 1,819$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.95 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 1,776$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 1,657$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.09 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 1,278$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.82 | 341 | 46%157 W · 184 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 1,252$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 1,230$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.56 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 1,141$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 1,024$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 1,017$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.63 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…1582backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -90%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed FC Bayern München | 54c | 934.21$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked FC Bayern München | 61c | 905.34$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 635.84$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC Bayern München | 66c | 616.04$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 545 | 40.9%223 W · 322 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 604.51$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.67 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 521.92$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.4 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace7…462abacked FC Bayern München | 58c | 516.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…5ff2backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 514.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 509.42$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked FC Bayern München | 57c | 495.54$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked VfB Stuttgart | 25c | 469.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…8b79backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 444.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 431.26$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…38d8backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 407.53$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked VfB Stuttgart | 25c | 392.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…6f42backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 340.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 340.33$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked FC Bayern München | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 320.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked FC Bayern München | 62c | 320$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Bayern München | 65c | 320$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 352 | 37.2%131 W · 221 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 307.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed VfB Stuttgart | 34c | 266.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 860 | 32.7%281 W · 579 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked VfB Stuttgart | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 250.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed FC Bayern München | 66c | 245$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked FC Bayern München | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 220.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 206.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VfB Stuttgart | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,288 | 42.6%1,400 W · 1,888 L | -74.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 186.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed FC Bayern München | 66c | 182.07$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked FC Bayern München | 61c | 164.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 163.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8f…aebfbacked FC Bayern München | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 160.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 149.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed VfB Stuttgart | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…549cbacked FC Bayern München | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked FC Bayern München | 64c | 124$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 118.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 113$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed VfB Stuttgart | 14c | 104.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked FC Bayern München | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked VfB Stuttgart | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.