Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6bc580962a7304ad8b37d0eb28751ebab100c30455fae88ed81cd1f5f4967dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 57c | 5,065$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.57 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 3,700$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.67 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 53c | 3,352$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 62c | 2,845$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 38c | 1,940$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 38c | 1,907$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.2 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 62c | 1,724$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.57 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 1,571$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.89 | 860 | 32.7%281 W · 579 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 62c | 1,443$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 57c | 1,443$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 47c | 1,436$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 1,081$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.52 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 58c | 919.98$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…da72backed Under | 74c | 887.83$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 60c | 799.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 63c | 778.89$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 656.66$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.55 | 480 | 30.6%147 W · 333 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 43c | 656$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 45c | 656$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 61c | 586$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.46 | 391 | 48.1%188 W · 203 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 49c | 570.27$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 45c | 554.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 68c | 533.72$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 61c | 492.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 47c | 488.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 45c | 435$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 501 | 43.5%218 W · 283 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Over | 47c | 410.2$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 55c | 409.16$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…101dbacked Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 45c | 388.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 67c | 374.34$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 364.11$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.47 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 38c | 343.74$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 341 | 46%157 W · 184 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Over | 47c | 341.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 55c | 283.65$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 59c | 271$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 58c | 258.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 40c | 250.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 50c | 232.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 45c | 220$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 219.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 352 | 37.2%131 W · 221 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 62c | 145.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Over | 62c | 143.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 62c | 123.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…cf9ebacked Over | 44c | 113.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 41c | 109.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 149 | 26.8%40 W · 109 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 44c | 88.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fc…2b03backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Over | 46c | 72.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 45c | 70.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 29c | 65.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 62.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 402 | 59%237 W · 165 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 53.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed Over | 47c | 53.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Under | 57c | 51.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 77c | 42.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…4edabacked Under | 49c | 41.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…0ac8backed Over | 62c | 41.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 39c | 38.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…dad3backed Over | 48c | 34.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 41c | 30.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 631 | 52.3%330 W · 301 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 27.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 55c | 27.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…e8b9backed Under | 38c | 27.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 47c | 26.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Over | 43c | 24.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 46c | 23.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…9f87backed Over | 58c | 20.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Under | 62c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.