Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17a34922709a4e862422ba3f2fbc3b8600b55ce27a5d5d43f4b28a18322b1189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 21,500$8,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,468.26 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 16,303$11,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,108.04 | 480 | 30.6%147 W · 333 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 31c | 16,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 58c | 15,870$9,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,236.24 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 70c | 14,286$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 9,599$6,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,883.07 | 310 | 45.2%140 W · 170 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 64c | 9,159$5,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Over | 30c | 9,128$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 43c | 6,749$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 64c | 6,053$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 73c | 5,184$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.18 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 27c | 5,087$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.49 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 56c | 4,738$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 25c | 4,515$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.86 | 352 | 37.2%131 W · 221 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 30c | 3,372$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.53 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 70c | 3,244$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 2,903$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.17 | 860 | 32.7%281 W · 579 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…c8e9backed Over | 26c | 2,760$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 2,703$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.62 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 29c | 2,528$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.5 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…df79backed Over | 26c | 2,322$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 30c | 2,095$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 36c | 1,922$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…75a1backed Over | 39c | 1,900$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 47c | 1,781$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d1…c0f2backed Under | 80c | 1,750$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 32c | 1,635$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 4c | 1,567$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed Under | 6c | 1,548$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…6455backed Under | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Under | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 32c | 1,293$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 3c | 1,250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 38c | 1,237$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.34 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 29c | 1,158$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Over | 28c | 1,157$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 1,060$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.79 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 79c | 1,011$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 72c | 1,001$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 73c | 994.87$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.26 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -90%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 6c | 978.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Under | 4c | 937.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 33c | 899.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 65c | 871.2$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 44c | 826.33$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 64c | 707.94$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.94 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 20c | 690.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +180%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 26c | 674.91$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 607.07$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.25 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 148 | 62.2%92 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Under | 6c | 565.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 56c | 519.47$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.22 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Over | 37c | 501.2$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…9461backed Over | 49c | 484.55$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 29c | 464.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 45c | 416.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584a…8b8abacked Over | 40c | 375.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 330.51$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.63 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 54c | 328.21$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 28c | 323$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.56 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 24c | 315.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Under | 71c | 309.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 289.76$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.83 | 274 | 45.3%124 W · 150 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfc…e3eebacked Over | 30c | 288$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 271.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 1,315 | 40.6%534 W · 781 L | -44.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 55c | 263.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…39dbbacked Under | 13c | 259.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 36c | 256.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 74c | 256$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked Over | 18c | 255.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.16 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 253.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 501 | 43.5%218 W · 283 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 69c | 249.92$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.45 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over | 20c | 240$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…8cf1backed Over | 30c | 239.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 42c | 238.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 38c | 229.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 545 | 40.9%223 W · 322 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Over | 38c | 226.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 61c | 223.31$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…d40bbacked Under | 77c | 215$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…336cbacked Under | 71c | 214.1$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 60c | 211$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…101dbacked Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 57c | 193.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 77c | 161.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…ee8ebacked Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Under | 77c | 154.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 25c | 153.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 65c | 150.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…f5dabacked Under | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 37c | 144.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…2e23backed Under | 77c | 142.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.